Astral Codex Ten

P(A|B) = [P(A)*P(B|A)]/P(B), all the rest is commentary.

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Editorial Articles Media Highlights

by Astral Codex Ten

March 3 2026 · Edited Mar 3, 2026
Cover image for Mantic Monday: Groundhog Day

Mantic Monday: Groundhog Day

Plus: Anthropic, Iran, and midterm voting

by Astral Codex Ten

March 2 2026 · Edited Mar 2, 2026
Cover image for Open Thread 423

Open Thread 423

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by Astral Codex Ten

March 1 2026 · Edited Mar 1, 2026
Cover image for "All Lawful Use": Much More Than You Wanted To Know

"All Lawful Use": Much More Than You Wanted To Know

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by Astral Codex Ten

February 26 2026 · Edited Feb 26, 2026
Cover image for Next-Token Predictor Is An AI's Job, Not Its Species

Next-Token Predictor Is An AI's Job, Not Its Species

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by Astral Codex Ten

February 25 2026 · Edited Feb 25, 2026
Cover image for The Pentagon Threatens Anthropic

The Pentagon Threatens Anthropic

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by Astral Codex Ten

February 24 2026 · Edited Feb 24, 2026
Cover image for Malicious Streetlight Effects Vs. "Directional Correctness" - A Semi-Non-Apology

Malicious Streetlight Effects Vs. "Directional Correctness" - A Semi-Non-Apology

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by Astral Codex Ten

February 23 2026 · Edited Feb 23, 2026
Cover image for Open Thread 422

Open Thread 422

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by Astral Codex Ten

February 20 2026 · Edited Feb 20, 2026
Cover image for Book Review Contest Rules 2026

Book Review Contest Rules 2026

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by Astral Codex Ten

February 19 2026 · Edited Feb 19, 2026
Cover image for Crime As Proxy For Disorder

Crime As Proxy For Disorder

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by Astral Codex Ten

February 18 2026 · Edited Feb 18, 2026
Cover image for Record Low Crime Rates Are Real, Not Just Reporting Bias Or Improved Medical Care

Record Low Crime Rates Are Real, Not Just Reporting Bias Or Improved Medical Care

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by Astral Codex Ten

February 16 2026 · Edited Feb 16, 2026
Cover image for Open Thread 421

Open Thread 421

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by Astral Codex Ten

February 13 2026 · Edited Feb 13, 2026
Cover image for AMA (Ask Machines Anything)

AMA (Ask Machines Anything)

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by Astral Codex Ten

February 12 2026 · Edited Feb 12, 2026
Cover image for What Happened With Bio Anchors?

What Happened With Bio Anchors?

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by Astral Codex Ten

February 11 2026 · Edited Feb 11, 2026
Cover image for Political Backflow From Europe

Political Backflow From Europe

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by Astral Codex Ten

February 9 2026 · Edited Feb 9, 2026
Cover image for Open Thread 420

Open Thread 420

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by Astral Codex Ten

February 5 2026 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for Links For February 2026

Links For February 2026

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by Astral Codex Ten

January 5 2026 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for Open Thread 415

Open Thread 415

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by Astral Codex Ten

January 6 2026 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for Highlights From The Comments On Boomers

Highlights From The Comments On Boomers

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by Astral Codex Ten

January 9 2026 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for The Permanent Emergency

The Permanent Emergency

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by Astral Codex Ten

January 13 2026 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for Mantic Monday: The Monkey's Paw Curls

Mantic Monday: The Monkey's Paw Curls

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